{"id":3899,"date":"2025-03-20T13:50:06","date_gmt":"2025-03-20T19:50:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vpzajoti4c.onrocket.site\/news\/rare-earth-supply\/"},"modified":"2025-05-11T09:46:16","modified_gmt":"2025-05-11T15:46:16","slug":"rare-earth-supply","status":"publish","type":"news-archive","link":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/news\/rare-earth-supply\/","title":{"rendered":"China Study Suggests China will Lose Rare Earth Control in a Decade"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Highlights<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>China's current 62% global rare earth market share could shrink to 23% by 2040.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>New mining sources in Africa, South America, Australia, and Greenland are challenging China's rare earth monopoly.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Emerging global mining frontiers are expected to fundamentally reshape rare earth supply dynamics.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\">\n\n\n\n<p><em>A study by the <a href=\"https:\/\/english.cas.cn\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" class=\"external-link\">Chinese Academy of Sciences<span class=\"sr-only\"> (opens in a new tab)<\/span><\/a> (CAS) forecasts that China's dominance in the global rare earth industry could significantly decline within the next decade as new mining sources emerge worldwide. Published in the peer-reviewed journal <a href=\"https:\/\/scispace.com\/journals\/chinese-rare-earths-3jfh4o24\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" class=\"external-link\">Chinese Rare Earths<span class=\"sr-only\"> (opens in a new tab)<\/span><\/a>, the research predicts that China's current 62% share of the global rare earth supply may shrink to 28% by 2035 and further to 23% by 2040, marking the end of its unparalleled control over the industry.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the study, mining frontiers in Africa, South America, Australia, and Greenland are poised to reshape global supply chains, undermining China's stronghold, particularly in heavy rare earths. Greenland\u2019s Kvanefjeld deposit, along with various South American projects, could challenge China's ion-adsorption clay production in southern China, historically a critical source of heavy rare earths reports <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/news\/china\/science\/article\/3303167\/chinas-rare-earth-dominance-could-crumble-10-years-cas-study-forecasts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" class=\"external-link\">South China Morning Post<span class=\"sr-only\"> (opens in a new tab)<\/span><\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conducted by researchers at the <a href=\"https:\/\/english.cas.cn\/institutes\/research_bodies\/index_17893_10.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" class=\"external-link\">CAS Ganjiang Innovation Academy in Ganzhou<span class=\"sr-only\"> (opens in a new tab)<\/span><\/a>, Jiangxi province, a major rare earth production hub, the study suggests that the world is on the cusp of a fundamental shift in rare earth supply dynamics, potentially ending China's long-standing monopoly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, as\u00a0the Rare Earth Exchange\u00a0has reported, China is only exploiting the rare earth monopoly to achieve a bigger end. They are in the value-added production phase (parts, assemblies, and components) and have marked control over key vertical sectors (electric vehicles, green energy, growing high-tech, and aerospace presence), with the aim of controlling a digital currency by the 2040s. By that point, it might not matter anymore.<\/p>\n<span class=\"et_bloom_bottom_trigger\"><\/span>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chinese Academy of Sciences study predicts China&#8217;s rare earth supply dominance will decline from 62% to 23% by 2040 as global mining frontiers emerge.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"news-type":[132,122],"organization":[],"regions":[315],"class_list":["post-3899","news-archive","type-news-archive","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","news-type-industrial-metals","news-type-ree-news","regions-china"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news-archive\/3899","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news-archive"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/news-archive"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3899"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news-archive\/3899\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":70034,"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news-archive\/3899\/revisions\/70034"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3899"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"news-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news-type?post=3899"},{"taxonomy":"organization","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/organization?post=3899"},{"taxonomy":"regions","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rareearthexchanges.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/regions?post=3899"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}